Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 10.000170 11.538647 13.190652 15.091292 17.212220 19.500742 22.151310
2025-08-31 7.525300 9.511393 11.801176 14.616530 17.963839 21.794708 26.487540
2025-09-07 6.271130 8.496846 11.203749 14.698090 19.045585 24.230492 30.831115
2025-09-14 5.347843 7.697125 10.688441 14.711571 19.908279 26.317081 34.730947
2025-09-21 4.696946 7.135543 10.369182 14.876132 20.887809 28.514325 38.787390
2025-09-28 4.115612 6.581032 9.977187 14.869346 21.588782 30.333106 42.384632
2025-10-05 3.758681 6.291643 9.900449 15.250713 22.787223 32.810193 46.893706
2025-10-12 3.419655 5.983269 9.755775 15.503312 23.793170 35.042457 51.132925
2025-10-19 3.083111 5.636390 9.514972 15.582598 24.535182 36.919041 54.932629
2025-10-26 2.675523 5.127267 8.979701 15.176483 24.538233 37.746677 57.293016
2025-11-02 2.348864 4.711836 8.547459 14.882396 24.667687 38.730254 59.874065
2025-11-09 2.058773 4.323694 8.120869 14.557175 24.715922 39.576614 62.263123
2025-11-16 1.806917 3.976691 7.735219 14.273478 24.815959 40.509076 64.824621
2025-11-23 1.557712 3.602723 7.268803 13.820198 24.618109 40.979186 66.713168
2025-11-30 1.421455 3.428527 7.131532 13.898079 25.253133 42.708815 70.500165
2025-12-07 1.290565 3.248124 6.965627 13.910953 25.774740 44.272466 74.073642
2025-12-14 1.192411 3.122869 6.888402 14.068101 26.532074 46.216088 78.268305
2025-12-21 1.083786 2.960838 6.726898 14.061621 27.009450 47.728695 81.836649
2025-12-28 1.027938 2.908778 6.771351 14.425863 28.123110 50.276106 87.065742
2026-01-04 0.963117 2.827810 6.751245 14.667160 29.031138 52.516292 91.867895
2026-01-11 0.887190 2.710453 6.647387 14.742905 29.649837 54.301343 95.993078
2026-01-18 0.775966 2.490447 6.312269 14.354961 29.429323 54.700242 97.917054
2026-01-25 0.686124 2.310231 6.043273 14.074083 29.380160 55.370297 100.280687